Friday, 25 March 2011

Gammons again - 1 on bar, 2 additional crossovers

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 81
                         
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
                          pip: 60
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aBBBCCB--A--------bbbbbbb-:1:-1:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
to play 21

1.Rollout19/6eq: +0.997
Player:
Opponent:
97.78% (G:4.92% B:0.04%)

2.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.994...+1.000)
Duration: 57.7 seconds
2.XG Roller+9/7 4/3eq: +0.969 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:
96.85% (G:4.25% B:0.05%)

3.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller+9/8 4/2eq: +0.962 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:
96.66% (G:4.11% B:0.05%)

3.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller+4/1eq: +0.949 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
95.99% (G:4.25% B:0.04%)

4.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.3 ply9/8 5/3eq: +0.894 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:
93.33% (G:4.22% B:0.01%)

6.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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Convert to race or hit?

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 80
                         
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
                          pip: 76
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-BBBBBA-B-A-baA----bbbbbb-:1:-1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
to play 61

1.Rollout114/13* 13/7eq: +0.244
Player:
Opponent:
66.88% (G:12.91% B:0.02%)

33.12% (G:19.94% B:0.80%)		Conf: ± 0.005 (+0.239...+0.249)
Duration: 3 minutes 16 seconds
2.Rollout114/7eq: +0.204 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:
65.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

34.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.201...+0.207)
Duration: 5 minutes 42 seconds
3.XG Roller+14/13* 10/4eq: +0.214 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
63.80% (G:10.90% B:0.03%)

36.20% (G:15.28% B:0.22%)
4.XG Roller+14/8 10/9eq: +0.180 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:
64.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

35.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.3 ply14/8 5/4eq: +0.186 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:
64.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

35.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
1 1083 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Note the assymetrical gammons

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20 point anchor and full back

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 123
                         
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
                          pip: 150
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=----BBC-C---dB---cccBb--A-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances: 76.48% (G: 9.08% B: 0.23%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 23.52% (G: 2.81% B: 0.08%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 76.92% (G: 8.68% B: 0.21%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 23.08% (G: 2.79% B: 0.08%)
 
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.530
Double:+1.197
 
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+1.011
Double/Take:+1.049 (+0.037)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (-0.011)
 
Best Cube action: Too Good to Double / Drop
 
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
 
Confidence No Double: ± 0.016 (+0.996...+1.027)
Confidence Double: ± 0.017 (+1.032...+1.066)
 
Double Decision confidence: 92.3%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
 
Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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Wednesday, 23 March 2011

41.66% gammons

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 98
                         
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
                          pip: 60
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=bBBBCCB--A---------cbbbbb-:1:-1:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
to play 21

1.Rollout19/6eq: +1.299
Player:
Opponent:
94.60% (G:41.66% B:1.17%)

5.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf: ± 0.006 (+1.293...+1.305)
Duration: 1 minute 16 seconds
2.XG Roller+9/7 4/3eq: +1.246 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:
93.75% (G:38.23% B:1.00%)

6.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller+9/8 4/2eq: +1.226 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:
93.02% (G:38.03% B:0.98%)

6.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.3 ply4/1eq: +1.232 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
93.05% (G:38.69% B:0.80%)

6.95% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
5.3 ply9/8 5/3eq: +1.195 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:
91.69% (G:37.98% B:0.72%)

8.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

(With Black Crunched Board = 48.6% Gammons)
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2.25% gammons

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 78
                         
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
                          pip: 60
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aBBBCCB--A---------ccbbbb-:1:-1:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
to play 21

1.Rollout19/6eq: +0.963
Player:
Opponent:
97.41% (G:2.24% B:0.04%)

2.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf: ± 0.003 (+0.960...+0.966)
Duration: 46.2 seconds
2.XG Roller+9/7 4/3eq: +0.952 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
97.07% (G:2.03% B:0.02%)

2.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller+9/8 4/2eq: +0.931 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent:
96.11% (G:2.00% B:0.02%)

3.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller+4/1eq: +0.924 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:
95.71% (G:2.05% B:0.02%)

4.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.3 ply9/7 5/4eq: +0.878 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:
93.61% (G:2.09% B:0.01%)

6.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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4% gammons

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 47
                         
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
                          pip: 60
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aBBBCCB--A-------------hf-:1:-1:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
to play 21

1.Rollout19/6eq: +0.989
Player:
Opponent:
97.68% (G:3.98% B:0.07%)

2.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)		Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.987...+0.991)
Duration: 7.5 seconds
2.XG Roller+9/7 4/3eq: +0.966 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
97.04% (G:3.41% B:0.05%)

2.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.XG Roller+4/1eq: +0.960 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
96.85% (G:3.32% B:0.05%)

3.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.XG Roller+9/8 4/2eq: +0.959 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
96.82% (G:3.23% B:0.05%)

3.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5.3 ply9/8 5/3eq: +0.917 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent:
95.17% (G:2.87% B:0.06%)

4.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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Tuesday, 22 March 2011

Priming Game: 2 back, 2 on bar, 18 spare

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 105
                         
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
                          pip: 108
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=bBBBBBB-----------AcccbbB-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances: 69.24% (G: 24.83% B: 0.57%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 30.76% (G: 6.10% B: 0.23%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 68.94% (G: 24.81% B: 0.57%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 31.06% (G: 6.06% B: 0.23%)
 
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.385
Double:+1.140
 
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.575 (-0.344)
Double/Take:+0.919
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.081)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
 
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
 
Confidence No Double: ± 0.018 (+0.557...+0.594)
Confidence Double: ± 0.021 (+0.898...+0.940)
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
 
Duration: 6 minutes 22 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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